Some of you have requested an update on where we stand since we began publishing the seasonal trades. You’ll find the results below, along with some trading notes and helpful hints. Best, Andy Waldock. Read more →
Seasonal Results
Blog Archives
Protected: COT Master Class 03/12/2019 NY
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Seasonal Strength Pushing Gold Higher
We have a seasonal trade coming in the April gold futures any day, now. Our seasonal approach is a bit different than most in that we go beyond determining seasonal bias and create a thoroughly thought out trade, including a realistic risk to reward profile. Read more →
The Soybean Trade Ahead of Feb’s USDA Report
The power of today’s computing makes finding seasonal patterns relatively easy. It’s straight forward to find a buy date and a sell date with an 85% winning percentage over the last whatever the number of years. While many retail traders will take a look at the numbers and jump at the action, many times a more in depth look reveals that the… Read more →
The Shifting Seasonality of Natural Gas
Seasonality always varies to some degree from year to year. For most markets, varying seasonality is still tied to the cyclicality of their particular feature; like spring planting, fall harvests, summer vacations, and taxes. The natural gas market, on the other hand, has shifted the volatility of its seasonal behavior from the hurricane months of late summer to the Polar Vortices of… Read more →
Platinum Shakeout Prior to New Year Rally
I had planned an in-depth look at platinum and gold both individually and, spread against one another. There are predictable setups in all three of these tradeable vehicles. However, my body just hasn’t been willing to let me spend much time at my desk, and the platinum trade is rapidly approaching. Therefore, today’s analysis will focus solely on the upcoming platinum trade… Read more →
Commercial Buying Preceding Seasonal Cotton Strength
The March cotton futures tend to close the year strongly. We expect this market to move higher from here through year-end based on the growing commercial trader position and seasonal strength, which should create a bit of a saucer base and bottom. Read more →
Commercial Selling Ahead of Seasonal Hog Decline
Our last new trade for November is short selling the February lean hog contract. The commercial hog producers are becoming increasingly anxious to get their animals sold forward at these prices against a backdrop of Chinese demand and regulatory uncertainty. Conversely, the speculators have been adding to their net long position as the market approaches solid resistance up to $.70 per/lb.… Read more →
Near-Term Seasonal Weakness Expected in Live Cattle Futures
Live cattle futures exhibit a unique seasonal pattern this time of year. The pattern is unique because there are potentially two seasonal trades between Thanksgiving and New Year. Many times, this creates anear reversal pattern, just as we had last year. We made more than $4k per contract on these two trades just last year. Now, the February live cattle… Read more →
Thanksgiving 2018 Market & Office Hours
US Futures Market Hours Thanksgiving 2018 Our office will be closed Friday, November 23rd and Monday, November 26th. I’ll still check emails but phone calls will go straight to Chicago. Best, Andy Waldock. Read more →
January Orange Juice Reversal Higher into Expiration
Every month brings many seasonal trading possibilities. Years of work with the Commitment of Traders data has shown me that not all seasonal trades are created equally. Our program is now one year old and the seasonal results have been quite solid. I’m pleased with the trading plan I’ve put together which has included limited risk, reasonable winning percentage and still… Read more →
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The risk of loss in trading futures and/or options is substantial and each investor and/or trader must consider whether this is a suitable investment. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by simulated historical tests of strategies, is not indicative of future results. Trading advice is based on information taken from trades and statistical services and other sources that Commodity & Derivative Advisors believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades.
