I had planned an in-depth look at platinum and gold both individually and, spread against one another. There are predictable setups in all three of these tradeable vehicles. However, my body just hasn’t been willing to let me spend much time at my desk, and the platinum trade is rapidly approaching. Therefore, today’s analysis will focus solely on the upcoming platinum trade… Read more →
The March cotton futures tend to close the year strongly. We expect this market to move higher from here through year-end based on the growing commercial trader position and seasonal strength, which should create a bit of a saucer base and bottom. Read more →
Live cattle futures exhibit a unique seasonal pattern this time of year. The pattern is unique because there are potentially two seasonal trades between Thanksgiving and New Year. Many times, this creates anear reversal pattern, just as we had last year. We made more than $4k per contract on these two trades just last year. Now, the February live cattle… Read more →
Every month brings many seasonal trading possibilities. Years of work with the Commitment of Traders data has shown me that not all seasonal trades are created equally. Our program is now one year old and the seasonal results have been quite solid. I’m pleased with the trading plan I’ve put together which has included limited risk, reasonable winning percentage and still… Read more →
The commercial coffee producers have taken the upper hand in the December coffee futures contract ahead of seasonal weakness through month’s end. Read more →
The 30yr T-Bonds are oversold on a weekly basis in the face of the most bullish commercial trader position we’ve seen since April of 2010. While I still believe that interest rates have turned and will move structurally higher for quite some time, it appears that the sp[eculators may have gotten ahead of the market. We’ll see. Tomorrow’s unemployment report… Read more →
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The British Pound is facing severe headwinds as Brexit negotiations begin to take center stage ahead of the EU Summit starting October 18th. Read more →
We’ve been writing about the largest traders’ growing short position in the S&P futures. In fact, they’ve been net sellers in seven out of the last eight weeks. Let’s face it, size matters. The mini S&P 500 futures are the most liquid of the stock index futures and therefore present a much larger capital base. Now that the selling has spilled… Read more →
The Canadian Dollar has been trading sideways for the last month. Closer inspection reveals a shift in big money’s bias ahead of a predicted window of seasonal strength. Read more →
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