The Euro currency has drifted lower for almost exactly one year from the last high print worth mentioning around $1.30 to the US dollar. We think the increasingly bullish position of the commercial traders along with pending seasonal effects set the Euro currency up for a period of strength in the near future. I’ll show you both of our seasonal… Read more →
The British Pound has faced troubled waters since Brexit began to look like a reality. Theresa May was once again unable to find supporters for her plan. Lack of consensus sent the British Pound more than 100 points lower and knocked me out of a premature long position. Of course, the early long position was established on what would’ve been… Read more →
Our next seasonal trade looks like it will kick off tonight, in the Japanese Yen. This is a quick hit trade, barely lasting more than two weeks. Read more →
We have a seasonal trade coming in the April gold futures any day, now. Our seasonal approach is a bit different than most in that we go beyond determining seasonal bias and create a thoroughly thought out trade, including a realistic risk to reward profile. Read more →
The power of today’s computing makes finding seasonal patterns relatively easy. It’s straight forward to find a buy date and a sell date with an 85% winning percentage over the last whatever the number of years. While many retail traders will take a look at the numbers and jump at the action, many times a more in depth look reveals that the… Read more →
Seasonality always varies to some degree from year to year. For most markets, varying seasonality is still tied to the cyclicality of their particular feature; like spring planting, fall harvests, summer vacations, and taxes. The natural gas market, on the other hand, has shifted the volatility of its seasonal behavior from the hurricane months of late summer to the Polar Vortices of… Read more →
I had planned an in-depth look at platinum and gold both individually and, spread against one another. There are predictable setups in all three of these tradeable vehicles. However, my body just hasn’t been willing to let me spend much time at my desk, and the platinum trade is rapidly approaching. Therefore, today’s analysis will focus solely on the upcoming platinum trade… Read more →
The March cotton futures tend to close the year strongly. We expect this market to move higher from here through year-end based on the growing commercial trader position and seasonal strength, which should create a bit of a saucer base and bottom. Read more →
Our last new trade for November is short selling the February lean hog contract. The commercial hog producers are becoming increasingly anxious to get their animals sold forward at these prices against a backdrop of Chinese demand and regulatory uncertainty. Conversely, the speculators have been adding to their net long position as the market approaches solid resistance up to $.70 per/lb.… Read more →
Live cattle futures exhibit a unique seasonal pattern this time of year. The pattern is unique because there are potentially two seasonal trades between Thanksgiving and New Year. Many times, this creates anear reversal pattern, just as we had last year. We made more than $4k per contract on these two trades just last year. Now, the February live cattle… Read more →
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