Seasonality always varies to some degree from year to year. For most markets, varying seasonality is still tied to the cyclicality of their particular feature; like spring planting, fall harvests, summer vacations, and taxes. The natural gas market, on the other hand, has shifted the volatility of its seasonal behavior from the hurricane months of late summer to the Polar Vortices of… Read more →
The last trade in our March seasonal portfolio is in the May crude oil contract. We expect the petroleum rally to continue. Our seasonal program will most likely trigger a buy signal Sunday night. This will make us long both crude and the RBOB unleaded contract. We’ll carry both of these positions through next week when we’ll offset the unleaded.… Read more →
Crude, corn, and cotton – April 2017 COT column Modern Trader Magazine
April 2017 Modern Trader COT Column
This walk through our Discretionary COT Signals for March 29th provides interest rate, forex, and energy examples of how we use the Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s (CFTC) weekly Commitments of Traders (COT) report to swing trade the commodity markets on a daily basis. We’ll make this short on text and long on practical examples. Read more →
Many financial markets are approaching illogical valuations of their products, and while no one knows how high the stock market will go or when it will turn. Fortunately, there are other investment opportunities that fit both logic and risk. Today, we’ll look at the unleaded gasoline market and the growing support that will push us into the spring driving season. Read more →
We don’t normally spend time patting ourselves on the back as we’re usually too busy with the next trade. Today, however, we have no new trades primarily thanks to letting the winners we’ve recently published here, continue to run. Therefore, we’ll update our last several posts here at Equities.com and explain the process of our support and resistance based swing… Read more →
50% Returns Coming for Commodities and Emerging Markets?
By Meb Faber of Cambria Investment Management
According to the weekly Commitment of Traders (COT) report issued by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), crude oil drillers have sold the most forward production since oil was trading at more than $100 per barrel. Considering that drillers are willing to sell just as much at half the price and that the recent rally to $50 per barrel has… Read more →
Crude oil touches nearly every part of our lives throughout the day. The more we do, the more we use. This is what makes crude oil such a valuable economic forecasting tool. This week, we’ll look at the big picture in crude oil using technical, fundamental and spread data to explain what the market is telling us as we head… Read more →
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