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February 2017 Modern Trader Commitments of Traders Column
Cattle ISSN: 1948-9099 Released July 21, 2017, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States Department of Agriculture (USDA). July 1 Cattle Inventory Up 4 Percent from 2015 All cattle and calves in the United States, as of July 1, 2017, totaled 103 million head. This is 4 percent above the 98.2 million head on July… Read more →
Soybeans have spiked as much as 15% higher over the last three weeks. So far, the commercial traders’ actions have accurately forecasted this year’s market behavior. In fact, it was commercial processor buying that triggered the discretionary COT buy signal we published for June 28th’s trading. Now that the market has rallied, the commercial balance of power between processors and… Read more →
This post was written by Erik Norland of the CME Group. It seemed especially fitting ahead of Sunday’s French Presidential election. Read more →
The coffee futures market has survived the most recent bout of seasonal weakness only to find itself left to rest on long-term technical support. However, the consistent selling by speculators throughout the early part of this year suggests that near-term strength could be volatile because coffee roasters are providing support on the buy side as they lock in their necessary… Read more →
The Commitments of Traders(COT) report is the primary focus of our research. This weekly report published by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission(CFTC) details the actions of the commodity markets’ three main participants; the commercials, large speculators, and non-reportables. We track the battle between the commercial traders and the large speculators. The commercial traders are the people who have a physical… Read more →
Soybean farmers are now the most short they’ve been since October of 2012. This means that U.S. farmers who are able to take advantage of South American misfortune stand to have their best year in quite awhile. There’s no question that South American production is not going to pass muster. However, in an interesting twist of fate, the same weather… Read more →
The Japanese Yen’s rally since their move to negative interest rates has been an economic phenomenon that I simply can’t get my head around. Perhaps a case of the government not taking more is akin to losing a foot rather than the entire leg? I suppose my lack of understanding is one of the reasons I follow the collective actions… Read more →
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