This week we looked at Crude oil for TraderPlanet.com and Feeder Cattle for Equities.com while our own research focused on the building a top in the stock market. We’ve also posted a snapshot of the mechanical program’s soybean meal results. This program is based on the commercial traders’ actions as reported to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s(CFTC) weekly Commitment of… Read more →
Weekly Strategy Review
This week’s primary analysis focused on, “The Interest Rate Conundrum.” Since this is a macro piece, I thought I’d review the last bits of trading in more detail. The trades over the last two weeks are a great look into the real world of discretionary trading. We’ve had a loser that bounced back as quickly as it knocked us out… Read more →
We began this week by revisiting the sugar futures market. We started talking about it a couple of weeks ago for Equities.com in, “Time to Sweeten on Sugar.” We updated this outlook Monday for TraderPlanet.com. This trade finally triggered on Thursday and currently sits above the $.1310 level that we believe will induce some speculative short covering. See, “Sugar Prices… Read more →
This morning’s unrevised Q4 GDP number at 2.2% on declining corporate profits provides just the right ambiance for a what has been a gloomy week. While we had a completely separate trade looking at multi-year lows in , “Time to Sweeten on Sugar,” most of our focus was on the financial markets. Read more →
This was a quiet week for our trading in spite of the explosive moves created by the Fed. Those brave souls willing to take currency positions ahead of the announcement based on our Discretionary COT Signals were handsomely rewarded as our COT Sell Signal in the U.S. Dollar Index was sent out before 10pm on the 17th. Our focus took… Read more →
This week, we took a step back and looked at the markets in groups. We focused on the metal and meat markets in general while only discussing specifically, a soybean meal trade. Re-Shuffling the Metal Markets which we wrote for TraderPlanet focused on the growing commercial trader position in the precious metals. There’s no question they’ve been big buyers on… Read more →
This was a busy week. We began on Monday with an exclusive follow up on last week’s “Equity Rally Waves a Caution Flag”, for TraderPlanet in, “Commercial Traders Turn Negative Towards Equity Rally” which focused specifically on the Dow. Tuesday, our attention turned to the unleaded gas market in “COT Sell Signal in Unleaded Futures” for Equities.com. This piece argued… Read more →
Most of the trading we do is based on some form of mean reversion. The idea is that a market that has moved too far away from its predicted value area is apt to return. This is the equivalent of buying low and selling high in a sideways market. The primary difference in our methodology is that we use the… Read more →
This has been a tremendously active week with big volatility and important market turns. We have to begin with last week’s gold platinum spread. We outlined the case in our Gold, Silver, Platinum and Copper Outlook. This week, April platinum traded down to nearly a $50 per ounce discount to April gold. Currently, this spread has rebounded to approximately a… Read more →
Unfortunately, we were unable to publish Monday due to the death of my main Mac. It looks like we’ll be evaluating our tech shortly as I’m already frustrated from working on this laptop all week. Anyway, we were able to publish a Gold Sell Signal at $1,300 on Tuesday for Equities.com. This was a follow up to our, Gold, Silver,… Read more →
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